Managing emotion is perhaps the most important trait in successfully betting sports. The fear of missing out has hindered bettors since well before hashtags and the FOMO acronym were popular. Tiger Woods epitomizes this concept, and it baffles me.
I get the excitement. I notice the improved health. I see the shades of his vintage game. But so do reckless gamblers, and their illogical wagers prevent fair payouts.
“We get $1,000 bets,” Jeff Sherman, golf oddsmaker at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, told ESPN. “I don’t think you’ve ever seen true odds just because of the support he gets. When he was 50-1, true odds would have been 150-1.”cheap nfl jerseys with free shipping
The Westgate has posted 25-1 odds on Woods for this week’s PGA Championship, despite the fact that he is currently outside the top 50 in the world golf ranking, hasn’t won a tournament since 2013 and hasn’t yet strung together four strong rounds of golf this season. Put me in the camp believing his 10-year major championship drought will last forever. And yet all sportsbooks indicate he routinely ranks among the golfers with the highest ticket count.
“He’s always going to have these people who obviously like him, cherish him and bet on him until he doesn’t play anymore,” South Point oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro told ESPN.
“They’ve won with him in the past,” Sherman said. “They’ve seen what he can do. They think at some point he can harness his talents.”
Well, here’s the truth. Tiger is not the same. He’s 42 years old and has endured too many injuries to list. He’s just over a year removed from back fusion surgery. He’s struggled in hitting his fairways this year, ranking 125th in strokes gained off-the-tee (-0.039) and 175th in driving accuracy (55.28 percent). But bettors are undeterred by a decade of losing tickets.
“People like betting the guys they like rooting for,” CG Technology vice president Jason Simbal said. “It’s the same reason TV network executives get excited when Tiger is in contention on Sunday.”
That dominance is long gone, but it sure was lethal. Between 1997 and 2003, he won 37 of 137 PGA events. That’s as many as the next three golfers combined. His 2006 campaign included a stretch of seven straight wins. Perhaps no golfer has been in better form than Woods in his 2000 season, when he began his Tiger Slam with three majors, including a record 15-stroke win at the U.S. Open.cheap stitched nfl jerseys free shipping
“We got our ass kicked every week,” Vaccaro said, sharing that Woods represented the highest liability and ticket count during his prime. At his apex, he was less than even money to win a tournament. “It’s hard to even fathom. Sixty-four guys, and you still had to lay money, and he still won.”